New York Islanders Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 2‑3‑0 · 4 pts
2 points behind WC2.
Make playoffs: 43%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: vs Vancouver Canucks
Tue, Oct 13 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
47%
OT/SO win
47%
OT/SO loss
44%
Regulation loss
37%
The Islanders are 2‑3‑0 with 4 points and are 2 points behind WC2. They make the playoffs in 43% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 92 points.
Upcoming games
at Ottawa Senators · Thu, Oct 15
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
47%
OT/SO win
48%
OT/SO loss
42%
Regulation loss
38%
at Toronto Maple Leafs · Sat, Oct 17
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
48%
OT/SO win
46%
OT/SO loss
43%
Regulation loss
37%
vs Anaheim Ducks · Tue, Oct 20
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
47%
OT/SO win
45%
OT/SO loss
43%
Regulation loss
38%
vs Los Angeles Kings · Thu, Oct 22
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
47%
OT/SO win
44%
OT/SO loss
43%
Regulation loss
38%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 9%
- 2nd in division
- 10%
- 3rd in division
- 12%
- WC1
- 6%
- WC2
- 6%
- Miss playoffs
- 57%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 4%
- Presidents' Trophy
- 2%
- Reach Round 2
- 21%
- Reach Conference Final
- 11%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 5%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 3%
Projected points: 92 (range 81–102)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 95
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 162 (79 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Washington: 157
Washington points earned + NY Islanders points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 157, Washington is guaranteed to finish ahead of NY Islanders on points. That would not by itself eliminate NY Islanders.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
91 more points in 79 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 57.6% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Metropolitan Division
FAQ
Can the Islanders make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Islanders, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 43% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Islanders' playoff chances?
The Islanders make the playoffs in 43% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Metropolitan Division in 9% and win the Stanley Cup in 3%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Islanders need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Eastern Conference finishes with a median of 95 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Islanders are projected to finish with about 92 points (middle 80% of simulations: 81–102).