Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 0‑5‑2 · 2 pts
4 points behind WC2.
Make playoffs: 24%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: vs Seattle Kraken
Tue, Oct 13 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
28%
OT/SO win
25%
OT/SO loss
24%
Regulation loss
20%
The Flyers are 0‑5‑2 with 2 points and are 4 points behind WC2. They make the playoffs in 24% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 87 points.
Upcoming games
at Detroit Red Wings · Thu, Oct 15
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
27%
OT/SO win
27%
OT/SO loss
22%
Regulation loss
20%
vs Ottawa Senators · Sat, Oct 17
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
27%
OT/SO win
28%
OT/SO loss
21%
Regulation loss
20%
vs Colorado Avalanche · Mon, Oct 19
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
27%
OT/SO win
26%
OT/SO loss
24%
Regulation loss
20%
at Buffalo Sabres · Wed, Oct 21
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
27%
OT/SO win
27%
OT/SO loss
23%
Regulation loss
20%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 3%
- 2nd in division
- 5%
- 3rd in division
- 7%
- WC1
- 4%
- WC2
- 5%
- Miss playoffs
- 76%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 1%
- Presidents' Trophy
- <1%
- Reach Round 2
- 12%
- Reach Conference Final
- 6%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 3%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 2%
Projected points: 87 (range 77–98)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 95
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 156 (77 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Washington: 151
Washington points earned + Philadelphia points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 151, Washington is guaranteed to finish ahead of Philadelphia on points. That would not by itself eliminate Philadelphia.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
93 more points in 77 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 60.4% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Metropolitan Division
FAQ
Can the Flyers make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Flyers, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 24% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Flyers' playoff chances?
The Flyers make the playoffs in 24% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Metropolitan Division in 3% and win the Stanley Cup in 2%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Flyers need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Eastern Conference finishes with a median of 95 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Flyers are projected to finish with about 87 points (middle 80% of simulations: 77–98).