Calgary Flames Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 0‑5‑0 · 0 pts
6 points behind WC2.
Make playoffs: 25%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: at Anaheim Ducks
Tue, Oct 13 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
29%
OT/SO win
27%
OT/SO loss
25%
Regulation loss
21%
The Flames are 0‑5‑0 with 0 points and are 6 points behind WC2. They make the playoffs in 25% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 88 points.
Upcoming games
at Vegas Golden Knights · Thu, Oct 15
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
28%
OT/SO win
29%
OT/SO loss
25%
Regulation loss
22%
vs Carolina Hurricanes · Sun, Oct 18
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
29%
OT/SO win
29%
OT/SO loss
24%
Regulation loss
22%
vs Minnesota Wild · Thu, Oct 22
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
29%
OT/SO win
27%
OT/SO loss
24%
Regulation loss
21%
vs Detroit Red Wings · Sat, Oct 24
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
29%
OT/SO win
29%
OT/SO loss
25%
Regulation loss
22%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 3%
- 2nd in division
- 5%
- 3rd in division
- 7%
- WC1
- 5%
- WC2
- 5%
- Miss playoffs
- 75%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 1%
- Presidents' Trophy
- 1%
- Reach Round 2
- 13%
- Reach Conference Final
- 6%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 3%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 2%
Projected points: 88 (range 77–98)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 94
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 158 (79 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Colorado: 153
Colorado points earned + Calgary points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 153, Colorado is guaranteed to finish ahead of Calgary on points. That would not by itself eliminate Calgary.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
94 more points in 79 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 59.5% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Pacific Division
FAQ
Can the Flames make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Flames, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 25% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Flames' playoff chances?
The Flames make the playoffs in 25% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Pacific Division in 3% and win the Stanley Cup in 2%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Flames need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Western Conference finishes with a median of 94 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Flames are projected to finish with about 88 points (middle 80% of simulations: 77–98).