San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 3‑2‑0 · 6 pts
Level on points with WC2; behind on a tiebreaker.
Make playoffs: 51%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: vs Boston Bruins
Tue, Oct 13 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
55%
OT/SO win
56%
OT/SO loss
51%
Regulation loss
47%
The Sharks are 3‑2‑0 with 6 points and are level on points with WC2; behind on a tiebreaker. They make the playoffs in 51% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 94 points.
Upcoming games
at Nashville Predators · Thu, Oct 15
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
56%
OT/SO win
55%
OT/SO loss
51%
Regulation loss
47%
at Detroit Red Wings · Sat, Oct 17
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
56%
OT/SO win
54%
OT/SO loss
52%
Regulation loss
46%
at Toronto Maple Leafs · Mon, Oct 19
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
55%
OT/SO win
54%
OT/SO loss
50%
Regulation loss
47%
at Montreal Canadiens · Tue, Oct 20
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
54%
OT/SO win
56%
OT/SO loss
51%
Regulation loss
48%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 12%
- 2nd in division
- 13%
- 3rd in division
- 13%
- WC1
- 6%
- WC2
- 7%
- Miss playoffs
- 49%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 6%
- Presidents' Trophy
- 3%
- Reach Round 2
- 26%
- Reach Conference Final
- 13%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 6%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 3%
Projected points: 94 (range 83–104)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 94
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 164 (79 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Colorado: 159
Colorado points earned + San Jose points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 159, Colorado is guaranteed to finish ahead of San Jose on points. That would not by itself eliminate San Jose.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
88 more points in 79 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 55.7% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Pacific Division
FAQ
Can the Sharks make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Sharks, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 51% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Sharks' playoff chances?
The Sharks make the playoffs in 51% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Pacific Division in 12% and win the Stanley Cup in 3%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Sharks need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Western Conference finishes with a median of 94 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Sharks are projected to finish with about 94 points (middle 80% of simulations: 83–104).