Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 4‑0‑1 · 9 pts
2nd in the Pacific.
Make playoffs: 67%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: at Los Angeles Kings
Tue, Oct 13 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
71%
OT/SO win
69%
OT/SO loss
68%
Regulation loss
63%
The Oilers are 4‑0‑1 with 9 points and are 2nd in the Pacific. They make the playoffs in 67% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 97 points.
Upcoming games
vs Utah Mammoth · Thu, Oct 15
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
71%
OT/SO win
71%
OT/SO loss
67%
Regulation loss
63%
at Utah Mammoth · Sat, Oct 17
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
71%
OT/SO win
70%
OT/SO loss
66%
Regulation loss
63%
vs Minnesota Wild · Tue, Oct 20
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
71%
OT/SO win
71%
OT/SO loss
67%
Regulation loss
62%
vs Carolina Hurricanes · Thu, Oct 22
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
71%
OT/SO win
70%
OT/SO loss
67%
Regulation loss
63%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 21%
- 2nd in division
- 18%
- 3rd in division
- 15%
- WC1
- 7%
- WC2
- 6%
- Miss playoffs
- 33%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 12%
- Presidents' Trophy
- 7%
- Reach Round 2
- 34%
- Reach Conference Final
- 17%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 8%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 4%
Projected points: 97 (range 86–107)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 94
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 167 (79 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Nashville: 156
Edmonton points earned + Nashville points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 156, Edmonton is guaranteed to finish ahead of Nashville on points.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
85 more points in 79 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 53.8% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Pacific Division
FAQ
Can the Oilers make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Oilers, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 67% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Oilers' playoff chances?
The Oilers make the playoffs in 67% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Pacific Division in 21% and win the Stanley Cup in 4%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Oilers need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Western Conference finishes with a median of 94 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Oilers are projected to finish with about 97 points (middle 80% of simulations: 86–107).