Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 3‑1‑1 · 7 pts
3rd in the Central.
Make playoffs: 57%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: vs Minnesota Wild
Tue, Oct 13 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
62%
OT/SO win
61%
OT/SO loss
55%
Regulation loss
52%
The Jets are 3‑1‑1 with 7 points and are 3rd in the Central. They make the playoffs in 57% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 95 points.
Upcoming games
at Chicago Blackhawks · Thu, Oct 15
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
61%
OT/SO win
63%
OT/SO loss
58%
Regulation loss
51%
vs Carolina Hurricanes · Sat, Oct 17
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
61%
OT/SO win
63%
OT/SO loss
56%
Regulation loss
52%
at St. Louis Blues · Tue, Oct 20
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
62%
OT/SO win
61%
OT/SO loss
57%
Regulation loss
52%
at Dallas Stars · Thu, Oct 22
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
61%
OT/SO win
61%
OT/SO loss
56%
Regulation loss
52%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 16%
- 2nd in division
- 15%
- 3rd in division
- 14%
- WC1
- 7%
- WC2
- 7%
- Miss playoffs
- 43%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 8%
- Presidents' Trophy
- 4%
- Reach Round 2
- 29%
- Reach Conference Final
- 14%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 7%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 4%
Projected points: 95 (range 84–105)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 94
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 165 (79 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Nashville: 158
Winnipeg points earned + Nashville points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 158, Winnipeg is guaranteed to finish ahead of Nashville on points.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
87 more points in 79 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 55.1% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Central Division
FAQ
Can the Jets make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Jets, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 57% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Jets' playoff chances?
The Jets make the playoffs in 57% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Central Division in 16% and win the Stanley Cup in 4%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Jets need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Western Conference finishes with a median of 94 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Jets are projected to finish with about 95 points (middle 80% of simulations: 84–105).