Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 3‑1‑1 · 7 pts
2nd in the Central.
Make playoffs: 57%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: vs Vegas Golden Knights
Mon, Oct 12 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
62%
OT/SO win
60%
OT/SO loss
58%
Regulation loss
52%
The Wild are 3‑1‑1 with 7 points and are 2nd in the Central. They make the playoffs in 57% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 95 points.
Upcoming games
at Winnipeg Jets · Tue, Oct 13
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
62%
OT/SO win
61%
OT/SO loss
57%
Regulation loss
52%
vs St. Louis Blues · Thu, Oct 15
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
62%
OT/SO win
61%
OT/SO loss
57%
Regulation loss
52%
vs Columbus Blue Jackets · Sun, Oct 18
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
61%
OT/SO win
62%
OT/SO loss
56%
Regulation loss
53%
at Edmonton Oilers · Tue, Oct 20
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
62%
OT/SO win
62%
OT/SO loss
56%
Regulation loss
53%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 16%
- 2nd in division
- 15%
- 3rd in division
- 14%
- WC1
- 6%
- WC2
- 6%
- Miss playoffs
- 43%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 8%
- Presidents' Trophy
- 4%
- Reach Round 2
- 29%
- Reach Conference Final
- 14%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 7%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 4%
Projected points: 95 (range 84–105)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 94
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 165 (79 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Nashville: 158
Minnesota points earned + Nashville points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 158, Minnesota is guaranteed to finish ahead of Nashville on points.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
87 more points in 79 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 55.1% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Central Division
FAQ
Can the Wild make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Wild, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 57% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Wild's playoff chances?
The Wild make the playoffs in 57% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Central Division in 16% and win the Stanley Cup in 4%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Wild need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Western Conference finishes with a median of 94 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Wild are projected to finish with about 95 points (middle 80% of simulations: 84–105).