Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 1‑5‑0 · 2 pts
4 points behind WC2.
Make playoffs: 29%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Tue, Oct 13 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
32%
OT/SO win
32%
OT/SO loss
27%
Regulation loss
25%
The Blackhawks are 1‑5‑0 with 2 points and are 4 points behind WC2. They make the playoffs in 29% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 89 points.
Upcoming games
vs Winnipeg Jets · Thu, Oct 15
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
32%
OT/SO win
33%
OT/SO loss
27%
Regulation loss
24%
vs Dallas Stars · Sat, Oct 17
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
33%
OT/SO win
32%
OT/SO loss
28%
Regulation loss
24%
vs Montreal Canadiens · Fri, Oct 23
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
33%
OT/SO win
32%
OT/SO loss
28%
Regulation loss
24%
vs Florida Panthers · Sun, Oct 25
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
33%
OT/SO win
29%
OT/SO loss
27%
Regulation loss
25%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 4%
- 2nd in division
- 6%
- 3rd in division
- 8%
- WC1
- 5%
- WC2
- 5%
- Miss playoffs
- 71%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 2%
- Presidents' Trophy
- 1%
- Reach Round 2
- 14%
- Reach Conference Final
- 7%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 4%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 2%
Projected points: 89 (range 78–99)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 94
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 158 (78 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Colorado: 153
Colorado points earned + Chicago points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 153, Colorado is guaranteed to finish ahead of Chicago on points. That would not by itself eliminate Chicago.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
92 more points in 78 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 59% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Central Division
FAQ
Can the Blackhawks make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Blackhawks, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 29% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Blackhawks' playoff chances?
The Blackhawks make the playoffs in 29% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Central Division in 4% and win the Stanley Cup in 2%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Blackhawks need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Western Conference finishes with a median of 94 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Blackhawks are projected to finish with about 89 points (middle 80% of simulations: 78–99).