Dallas Stars Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 2‑2‑1 · 5 pts
1 point behind WC2.
Make playoffs: 48%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: vs Colorado Avalanche
Tue, Oct 13 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
52%
OT/SO win
52%
OT/SO loss
46%
Regulation loss
43%
The Stars are 2‑2‑1 with 5 points and are 1 point behind WC2. They make the playoffs in 48% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 93 points.
Upcoming games
at Colorado Avalanche · Wed, Oct 14
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
51%
OT/SO win
53%
OT/SO loss
46%
Regulation loss
43%
at Chicago Blackhawks · Sat, Oct 17
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
52%
OT/SO win
51%
OT/SO loss
47%
Regulation loss
43%
vs Boston Bruins · Tue, Oct 20
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
51%
OT/SO win
53%
OT/SO loss
47%
Regulation loss
43%
vs Winnipeg Jets · Thu, Oct 22
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
52%
OT/SO win
50%
OT/SO loss
47%
Regulation loss
43%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 11%
- 2nd in division
- 12%
- 3rd in division
- 12%
- WC1
- 6%
- WC2
- 6%
- Miss playoffs
- 52%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 5%
- Presidents' Trophy
- 2%
- Reach Round 2
- 24%
- Reach Conference Final
- 12%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 6%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 3%
Projected points: 93 (range 82–103)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 94
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 163 (79 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Colorado: 158
Colorado points earned + Dallas points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 158, Colorado is guaranteed to finish ahead of Dallas on points. That would not by itself eliminate Dallas.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
89 more points in 79 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 56.3% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Central Division
FAQ
Can the Stars make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Stars, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 48% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Stars' playoff chances?
The Stars make the playoffs in 48% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Central Division in 11% and win the Stanley Cup in 3%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Stars need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Western Conference finishes with a median of 94 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Stars are projected to finish with about 93 points (middle 80% of simulations: 82–103).