Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances
W–L–OT 1‑3‑1 · 3 pts
3 points behind WC2.
Make playoffs: 37%
Data checked Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PM MDT · based on completed games in this snapshot
Next game: vs New Jersey Devils
Tue, Oct 13 · Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
42%
OT/SO win
39%
OT/SO loss
37%
Regulation loss
32%
The Red Wings are 1‑3‑1 with 3 points and are 3 points behind WC2. They make the playoffs in 37% of simulated seasons and are projected to finish with about 91 points.
Upcoming games
vs Philadelphia Flyers · Thu, Oct 15
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
41%
OT/SO win
41%
OT/SO loss
36%
Regulation loss
32%
vs San Jose Sharks · Sat, Oct 17
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
41%
OT/SO win
41%
OT/SO loss
34%
Regulation loss
32%
at Seattle Kraken · Tue, Oct 20
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
41%
OT/SO win
39%
OT/SO loss
37%
Regulation loss
32%
at Vancouver Canucks · Thu, Oct 22
Playoff chance if…
Regulation win
42%
OT/SO win
41%
OT/SO loss
35%
Regulation loss
32%
Estimates are rounded; small differences may reflect simulation variation. A scenario needs at least 500 simulated seasons to be shown; otherwise it reads "Unavailable".
Full odds
Final position (exactly one happens; adds to 100%)
- 1st in division
- 7%
- 2nd in division
- 8%
- 3rd in division
- 10%
- WC1
- 6%
- WC2
- 6%
- Miss playoffs
- 63%
Achievements (can overlap; do not add up)
- 1st in conference
- 3%
- Presidents' Trophy
- 1%
- Reach Round 2
- 18%
- Reach Conference Final
- 9%
- Reach Stanley Cup Final
- 5%
- Win Stanley Cup
- 2%
Projected points: 91 (range 80–101)
The range covers the middle 80% of simulated final-points outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Projected WC2 points: 95
Median final points of the second wild-card team in our simulations. This is a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total.
Points comparison
Maximum possible points: 161 (79 games remaining)
Points comparison vs Washington: 156
Washington points earned + Detroit points dropped from its remaining maximum.
When that combination reaches 156, Washington is guaranteed to finish ahead of Detroit on points. That would not by itself eliminate Detroit.
This is a two-team comparison, not a playoff-clinching number.
92 more points in 79 games to reach the projected WC2 total (a 58.2% points percentage — not winning percentage).
Atlantic Division
FAQ
Can the Red Wings make the playoffs?
We have no verified clinch or elimination for the Red Wings, so the answer is an estimate. In our simulations they reach the playoffs in 37% of seasons. Only the official NHL standings can confirm a clinch or elimination.
What are the Red Wings' playoff chances?
The Red Wings make the playoffs in 37% of 20,000 simulated seasons, win the Atlantic Division in 7% and win the Stanley Cup in 2%. Every remaining game is treated as a toss-up, with overtime and shootout points included.
How many points do the Red Wings need to make the playoffs?
There is no single guaranteed total: it depends on how other teams finish, division places and tiebreakers. In our simulations, the second wild-card team in the Eastern Conference finishes with a median of 95 points. That is an estimate and a reference point, not a guaranteed qualifying total. The Red Wings are projected to finish with about 91 points (middle 80% of simulations: 80–101).