Football
Houston Texans Playoff Chances 2026
0-4 · 4th in AFC South
The Houston Texans (0-4) sit 4th in the AFC South, three games behind the Jacksonville Jaguars and have a 17% chance to make the playoffs. They are still looking for their first win. They have 13 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
17%
Win AFC South
7%
Projected wins
6.8
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 5 at Titans
- With a win
- 22%
- With a loss
- 6%
- Swing
- 16 pts
Final win total
1%1
2%2
5%3
9%4
13%5
15%6
16%7
15%8
12%9
7%10
4%11
2%12
Most likely: 7 wins (16%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 1<1%
- Seed 21%
- Seed 32%
- Seed 44%
- Seed 52%
- Seed 64%
- Seed 75%
- Miss playoffs83%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers
AFC South race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | 3-1 | — | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| 2 |  Indianapolis Colts | 2-2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| 3 |  Tennessee Titans | 0-4 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 4 | Houston Texans | 0-4 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-3 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Upcoming · Neutral · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18
- Upcoming · Home · Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20
Indianapolis Colts
- L 17–19 · Away · Sun, Sep 27
- Upcoming · Home · Week 11 · Thu, Nov 19
Tennessee Titans
- Upcoming · Away · Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11
- Upcoming · Home · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsBuffalo Bills | Home | L 31–36 |
| 2 | vsCincinnati Bengals | Home | L 6–20 |
| 3 | @Indianapolis Colts | Away | L 17–19 |
| 4 | vsDallas Cowboys | Home | L 30–34 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .462 combined opponent win percentage — 26th toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sun, Oct 11 | @Tennessee Titans | Away | 0-4 |
| 6 | Sun, Oct 18 | vsJacksonville Jaguars | Neutral · Wembley Stadium | 3-1 |
| 7 | Sun, Oct 25 | vsNew York Giants | Home | 3-1 |
| 9 | Sun, Nov 8 | @Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 0-4 |
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | @Cleveland Browns | Away | 3-1 |
| 11 | Thu, Nov 19 | vsIndianapolis Colts | Home | 2-2 |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vsBaltimore Ravens | Home | 3-1 |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | @Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 2-2 |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | @Washington Commanders | Away | 1-3 |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | vsJacksonville Jaguars | Home | 3-1 |
| 16 | Thu, Dec 24 | @Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 2-2 |
| 17 | Mon, Jan 4 | @Green Bay Packers | Away | 2-2 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | vsTennessee Titans | Home | 0-4 |
FAQ
- What are the Houston Texans' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Texans have a 17% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 7% chance to win the AFC South, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Texans' record in 2026?
- The Houston Texans are 0-4 (0-1 in division games, 0-3 in conference games), 4th in AFC South.
- Who do the Texans play next?
- The Texans play on the road against the Tennessee Titans (0-4) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
- How many games do the Texans have left?
- The Texans have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET