Football

Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 2026

2-2 · 2nd in AFC South

The Indianapolis Colts (2-2) sit 2nd in the AFC South, one game behind the Jacksonville Jaguars and have a 38% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Texans and the Commanders, and have 13 games left.

Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works

Make playoffs

38%

Win AFC South

18%

Projected wins

8.4

of 17 games

What this week is worth

Week 5 at Steelers

With a win
54%
With a loss
25%
Swing
29 pts

Final win total

Most likely: 8 wins (16%)

Playoff seed

  • Seed 12%
  • Seed 23%
  • Seed 35%
  • Seed 48%
  • Seed 55%
  • Seed 67%
  • Seed 78%
  • Miss playoffs63%

Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers

AFC South race

AFC South standings
PosTeamW-L-TGBDIVCONF
1Jacksonville Jaguars3-1—0-03-1
2Indianapolis Colts2-211-01-2
3Tennessee Titans0-430-00-2
4Houston Texans0-430-10-3

Teams with identical win percentages share a position.

Head-to-head vs division rivals

Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
Tennessee Titans
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20
Houston Texans
  • W 19–17 · Home · Sun, Sep 27
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 11 · Thu, Nov 19

Results so far

WkOpponentSiteResult
1vsBaltimore RavensHomeL 23–41
2@Kansas City ChiefsAwayL 30–33
3vsHouston TexansHomeW 19–17
4vsWashington CommandersNeutral · Tottenham Hotspur StadiumW 30–13

Remaining schedule

Remaining strength of schedule: .453 combined opponent win percentage — 30th toughest of 32.

WkDateOpponentSiteOpp record
5Sun, Oct 11@Pittsburgh SteelersAway2-2
6Sun, Oct 18vsTennessee TitansHome0-4
7Sun, Oct 25@Minnesota VikingsAway4-0
8Sun, Nov 1@Jacksonville JaguarsAway3-1
9Sun, Nov 8vsDallas CowboysHome2-3
10Sun, Nov 15vsMiami DolphinsHome0-4
11Thu, Nov 19@Houston TexansAway0-4
12Sun, Nov 29vsNew York GiantsHome3-1
14Sun, Dec 13@Philadelphia EaglesAway2-2
15Sun, Dec 20@Tennessee TitansAway0-4
16Sun, Dec 27vsCincinnati BengalsHome2-2
17Sun, Jan 3@Cleveland BrownsAway3-1
18Sun, Jan 10vsJacksonville JaguarsHome3-1

FAQ

What are the Indianapolis Colts' chances of making the playoffs?
The Colts have a 38% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and an 18% chance to win the AFC South, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
What is the Colts' record in 2026?
The Indianapolis Colts are 2-2 (1-0 in division games, 1-2 in conference games), 2nd in AFC South.
Who do the Colts play next?
The Colts play on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
How many games do the Colts have left?
The Colts have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.

Related

Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET

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