Football
Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances 2026
0-4 · 4th in AFC East
The Miami Dolphins (0-4) sit 4th in the AFC East, three games behind the Buffalo Bills and have a 4% chance to make the playoffs. They are still looking for their first win. They have 13 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
4%
Win AFC East
2%
Projected wins
4.6
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 5 vs Bengals
- With a win
- 7%
- With a loss
- 2%
- Swing
- 6 pts
Final win total
2%0
6%1
11%2
16%3
18%4
17%5
13%6
9%7
6%8
3%9
1%10
1%11
Most likely: 4 wins (18%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 1<1%
- Seed 2<1%
- Seed 3<1%
- Seed 41%
- Seed 5<1%
- Seed 61%
- Seed 71%
- Miss playoffs96%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers
AFC East race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Buffalo Bills | 3-1 | — | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| 2 |  New England Patriots | 2-2 | 1 | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| 3 |  New York Jets | 1-3 | 2 | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Miami Dolphins | 0-4 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
Buffalo Bills
- Upcoming · Away · Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22
- Upcoming · Home · Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3
New England Patriots
- Upcoming · Home · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
- Upcoming · Away · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
New York Jets
- Upcoming · Away · Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25
- Upcoming · Home · Week 12 · Sun, Nov 29
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Las Vegas Raiders | Away | L 13–27 |
| 2 | @San Francisco 49ers | Away | L 13–35 |
| 3 | vsKansas City Chiefs | Home | L 10–24 |
| 4 | @Minnesota Vikings | Away | L 10–15 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .481 combined opponent win percentage — 21st toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sun, Oct 11 | vsCincinnati Bengals | Home | 2-2 |
| 7 | Sun, Oct 25 | @New York Jets | Away | 1-3 |
| 8 | Sun, Nov 1 | vsNew England Patriots | Home | 2-2 |
| 9 | Sun, Nov 8 | vsDetroit Lions | Home | 2-2 |
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | @Indianapolis Colts | Away | 2-2 |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @Buffalo Bills | Away | 3-1 |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vsNew York Jets | Home | 1-3 |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | @Denver Broncos | Away | 2-2 |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | vsChicago Bears | Home | 3-1 |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | @Green Bay Packers | Away | 2-2 |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vsLos Angeles Chargers | Home | 0-4 |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vsBuffalo Bills | Home | 3-1 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @New England Patriots | Away | 2-2 |
FAQ
- What are the Miami Dolphins' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Dolphins have a 4% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 2% chance to win the AFC East, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Dolphins' record in 2026?
- The Miami Dolphins are 0-4 (0-0 in division games, 0-2 in conference games), 4th in AFC East.
- Who do the Dolphins play next?
- The Dolphins play at home against the Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
- How many games do the Dolphins have left?
- The Dolphins have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET