Football
Las Vegas Raiders Playoff Chances 2026
3-1 · 2nd in AFC West
The Las Vegas Raiders (3-1) sit 2nd in the AFC West, one game behind the Kansas City Chiefs and have a 36% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Dolphins, the Chargers and the Saints, and have 13 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
36%
Win AFC West
12%
Projected wins
8.4
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 5 at Patriots
- With a win
- 58%
- With a loss
- 27%
- Swing
- 31 pts
Final win total
1%3
3%4
7%5
11%6
15%7
17%8
16%9
13%10
9%11
5%12
2%13
1%14
Most likely: 8 wins (17%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 12%
- Seed 23%
- Seed 33%
- Seed 44%
- Seed 57%
- Seed 68%
- Seed 79%
- Miss playoffs64%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers
AFC West race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kansas City Chiefs | 4-0 | — | 2-0 | 4-0 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Raiders | 3-1 | 1 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| 3 |  Denver Broncos | 2-2 | 2 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| 4 |  Los Angeles Chargers | 0-4 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
Kansas City Chiefs
- L 27–30 · Home · Sun, Oct 4
- Upcoming · Away · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
Denver Broncos
- Upcoming · Away · Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22
- Upcoming · Home · Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20
Los Angeles Chargers
- W 26–14 · Away · Sun, Sep 20
- Upcoming · Home · Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsMiami Dolphins | Home | W 27–13 |
| 2 | @Los Angeles Chargers | Away | W 26–14 |
| 3 | @New Orleans Saints | Away | W 35–27 |
| 4 | vsKansas City Chiefs | Home | L 27–30 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .519 combined opponent win percentage — 8th toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sun, Oct 11 | @New England Patriots | Away | 2-2 |
| 6 | Sun, Oct 18 | vsBuffalo Bills | Home | 3-1 |
| 7 | Sun, Oct 25 | vsLos Angeles Rams | Home | 2-2 |
| 8 | Sun, Nov 1 | @New York Jets | Away | 1-3 |
| 9 | Sun, Nov 8 | @San Francisco 49ers | Away | 4-0 |
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | vsSeattle Seahawks | Home | 3-1 |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @Denver Broncos | Away | 2-2 |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | @Cleveland Browns | Away | 3-1 |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | vsLos Angeles Chargers | Home | 0-4 |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | vsDenver Broncos | Home | 2-2 |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vsTennessee Titans | Home | 0-4 |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | @Arizona Cardinals | Away | 1-3 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 4-0 |
FAQ
- What are the Las Vegas Raiders' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Raiders have a 36% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 12% chance to win the AFC West, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Raiders' record in 2026?
- The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-1 (1-1 in division games, 2-1 in conference games), 2nd in AFC West.
- Who do the Raiders play next?
- The Raiders play on the road against the New England Patriots (2-2) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
- How many games do the Raiders have left?
- The Raiders have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET