Football
Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances 2026
4-0 · 1st in AFC West
The Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) lead the AFC West by one game over the Las Vegas Raiders and have an 83% chance to make the playoffs. They are still unbeaten. They have beaten the Broncos, the Colts, the Dolphins and the Raiders, and have 13 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
83%
Win AFC West
59%
Projected wins
11.2
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 6 vs Chargers
- With a win
- 90%
- With a loss
- 69%
- Swing
- 21 pts
Final win total
1%5
1%6
4%7
7%8
11%9
15%10
17%11
17%12
13%13
9%14
5%15
2%16
Most likely: 11 wins (17%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 120%
- Seed 215%
- Seed 313%
- Seed 411%
- Seed 511%
- Seed 68%
- Seed 76%
- Miss playoffs17%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Division magic number: 13
AFC West race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Chiefs | 4-0 | — | 2-0 | 4-0 |
| 2 |  Las Vegas Raiders | 3-1 | 1 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| 3 |  Denver Broncos | 2-2 | 2 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| 4 |  Los Angeles Chargers | 0-4 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
Las Vegas Raiders
- W 30–27 · Away · Sun, Oct 4
- Upcoming · Home · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
Denver Broncos
- W 31–10 · Home · Mon, Sep 14
- Upcoming · Away · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
Los Angeles Chargers
- Upcoming · Home · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18
- Upcoming · Away · Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsDenver Broncos | Home | W 31–10 |
| 2 | vsIndianapolis Colts | Home | W 33–30 |
| 3 | @Miami Dolphins | Away | W 24–10 |
| 4 | @Las Vegas Raiders | Away | W 30–27 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .481 combined opponent win percentage — 21st toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sun, Oct 18 | vsLos Angeles Chargers | Home | 0-4 |
| 7 | Sun, Oct 25 | @Seattle Seahawks | Away | 3-1 |
| 8 | Sun, Nov 1 | @Denver Broncos | Away | 2-2 |
| 9 | Sun, Nov 8 | vsNew York Jets | Home | 1-3 |
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | @Atlanta Falcons | Away | 2-2 |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | vsArizona Cardinals | Home | 1-3 |
| 12 | Thu, Nov 26 | @Buffalo Bills | Away | 3-1 |
| 13 | Thu, Dec 3 | @Los Angeles Rams | Away | 2-2 |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | @Cincinnati Bengals | Away | 2-2 |
| 15 | Mon, Dec 21 | vsNew England Patriots | Home | 2-2 |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vsSan Francisco 49ers | Home | 4-0 |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | @Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 0-4 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | vsLas Vegas Raiders | Home | 3-1 |
FAQ
- What are the Kansas City Chiefs' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Chiefs have an 83% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 59% chance to win the AFC West, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Chiefs' record in 2026?
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 4-0 (2-0 in division games, 4-0 in conference games), 1st in AFC West.
- Who do the Chiefs play next?
- The Chiefs play at home against the Los Angeles Chargers (0-4) in Week 6 on Sun, Oct 18.
- How many games do the Chiefs have left?
- The Chiefs have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET