Football
Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances 2026
2-2 · 2nd in NFC South
The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) sit 2nd in the NFC South, level with the Carolina Panthers but behind on tiebreakers and have a 46% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Packers and the Saints, and have 13 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
46%
Win NFC South
38%
Projected wins
8.3
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 5 vs Ravens
- With a win
- 58%
- With a loss
- 34%
- Swing
- 24 pts
Final win total
1%3
4%4
7%5
11%6
14%7
16%8
16%9
13%10
9%11
6%12
3%13
1%14
Most likely: 8 wins (16%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 12%
- Seed 25%
- Seed 313%
- Seed 418%
- Seed 51%
- Seed 63%
- Seed 74%
- Miss playoffs54%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Division magic number: 14
NFC South race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Panthers | 2-2 | — | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| 2 | Atlanta Falcons | 2-2 | 0 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Saints | 1-3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| 4 |  Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-4 | 1.5 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
Carolina Panthers
- L 3–34 · Home · Sun, Sep 20
- Upcoming · Away · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
New Orleans Saints
- W 45–24 · Away · Mon, Oct 5
- Upcoming · Home · Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Upcoming · Away · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
- Upcoming · Home · Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | L 13–20 |
| 2 | vsCarolina Panthers | Home | L 3–34 |
| 3 | @Green Bay Packers | Away | W 35–14 |
| 4 | @New Orleans Saints | Away | W 45–24 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .574 combined opponent win percentage — 2nd toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sun, Oct 11 | vsBaltimore Ravens | Home | 3-1 |
| 6 | Sun, Oct 18 | vsChicago Bears | Home | 3-1 |
| 7 | Sun, Oct 25 | vsSan Francisco 49ers | Home | 4-0 |
| 8 | Sun, Nov 1 | @Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | 1-4 |
| 9 | Sun, Nov 8 | vsCincinnati Bengals | Neutral · Santiago Bernabéu | 2-2 |
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | vsKansas City Chiefs | Home | 4-0 |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | @Minnesota Vikings | Away | 4-0 |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | vsDetroit Lions | Home | 2-2 |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | @Cleveland Browns | Away | 3-1 |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | @Washington Commanders | Away | 1-3 |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vsTampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 1-4 |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vsNew Orleans Saints | Home | 1-3 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @Carolina Panthers | Away | 2-2 |
FAQ
- What are the Atlanta Falcons' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Falcons have a 46% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 38% chance to win the NFC South, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Falcons' record in 2026?
- The Atlanta Falcons are 2-2 (1-1 in division games, 2-1 in conference games), 2nd in NFC South.
- Who do the Falcons play next?
- The Falcons play at home against the Baltimore Ravens (3-1) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
- How many games do the Falcons have left?
- The Falcons have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET