Football

Detroit Lions Playoff Chances 2026

2-2 · 3rd in NFC North

The Detroit Lions (2-2) sit 3rd in the NFC North, two games behind the Minnesota Vikings and have a 41% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Saints and the Jets, and have 13 games left.

Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works

Make playoffs

41%

Win NFC North

12%

Projected wins

8.9

of 17 games

What this week is worth

Week 5 at Cardinals

With a win
52%
With a loss
24%
Swing
28 pts

Final win total

Most likely: 9 wins (16%)

Playoff seed

  • Seed 13%
  • Seed 26%
  • Seed 33%
  • Seed 41%
  • Seed 57%
  • Seed 611%
  • Seed 711%
  • Miss playoffs59%

Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers

NFC North race

NFC North standings
PosTeamW-L-TGBDIVCONF
1Minnesota Vikings4-0—2-03-0
2Chicago Bears3-110-12-1
3Detroit Lions2-220-01-1
4Green Bay Packers2-220-11-2

Teams with identical win percentages share a position.

Head-to-head vs division rivals

Minnesota Vikings
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20
Chicago Bears
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 12 · Thu, Nov 26
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3
Green Bay Packers
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10

Results so far

WkOpponentSiteResult
1vsNew Orleans SaintsHomeW 31–30
2@Buffalo BillsAwayL 31–41
3vsNew York JetsHomeW 31–24
4@Carolina PanthersAwayL 26–32

Remaining schedule

Remaining strength of schedule: .509 combined opponent win percentage — 15th toughest of 32.

WkDateOpponentSiteOpp record
5Sun, Oct 11@Arizona CardinalsAway1-3
7Sun, Oct 25vsGreen Bay PackersHome2-2
8Sun, Nov 1vsMinnesota VikingsHome4-0
9Sun, Nov 8@Miami DolphinsAway0-4
10Sun, Nov 15vsNew England PatriotsNeutral · FC Bayern Munich Stadium2-2
11Sun, Nov 22vsTampa Bay BuccaneersHome1-4
12Thu, Nov 26vsChicago BearsHome3-1
13Sun, Dec 6@Atlanta FalconsAway2-2
14Sun, Dec 13vsTennessee TitansHome0-4
15Sun, Dec 20@Minnesota VikingsAway4-0
16Mon, Dec 28vsNew York GiantsHome3-1
17Sun, Jan 3@Chicago BearsAway3-1
18Sun, Jan 10@Green Bay PackersAway2-2

FAQ

What are the Detroit Lions' chances of making the playoffs?
The Lions have a 41% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 12% chance to win the NFC North, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
What is the Lions' record in 2026?
The Detroit Lions are 2-2 (0-0 in division games, 1-1 in conference games), 3rd in NFC North.
Who do the Lions play next?
The Lions play on the road against the Arizona Cardinals (1-3) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
How many games do the Lions have left?
The Lions have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.

Related

Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET

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