Football

New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances 2026

1-3 · 3rd in NFC South

The New Orleans Saints (1-3) sit 3rd in the NFC South, one game behind the Carolina Panthers and have a 17% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Ravens, and have 13 games left.

Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works

Make playoffs

17%

Win NFC South

14%

Projected wins

6.4

of 17 games

What this week is worth

Week 5 vs Vikings

With a win
29%
With a loss
11%
Swing
18 pts

Final win total

Most likely: 6 wins (16%)

Playoff seed

  • Seed 1<1%
  • Seed 21%
  • Seed 34%
  • Seed 48%
  • Seed 5<1%
  • Seed 61%
  • Seed 72%
  • Miss playoffs83%

Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers

NFC South race

NFC South standings
PosTeamW-L-TGBDIVCONF
1Carolina Panthers2-2—1-02-1
2Atlanta Falcons2-201-12-1
3New Orleans Saints1-310-10-2
4Tampa Bay Buccaneers1-41.50-01-2

Teams with identical win percentages share a position.

Head-to-head vs division rivals

Carolina Panthers
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13
Atlanta Falcons
  • L 24–45 · Home · Mon, Oct 5
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10

Results so far

WkOpponentSiteResult
1@Detroit LionsAwayL 30–31
2@Baltimore RavensAwayW 24–17
3vsLas Vegas RaidersHomeL 27–35
4vsAtlanta FalconsHomeL 24–45

Remaining schedule

Remaining strength of schedule: .519 combined opponent win percentage — 12th toughest of 32.

WkDateOpponentSiteOpp record
5Sun, Oct 11vsMinnesota VikingsHome4-0
6Sun, Oct 18@New York GiantsAway3-1
7Sun, Oct 25vsPittsburgh SteelersNeutral · Stade de France2-2
9Sun, Nov 8vsCleveland BrownsHome3-1
10Sun, Nov 15vsCarolina PanthersHome2-2
11Sun, Nov 22@Chicago BearsAway3-1
12Sun, Nov 29@Cincinnati BengalsAway2-2
13Sun, Dec 6vsGreen Bay PackersHome2-2
14Sun, Dec 13@Carolina PanthersAway2-2
15Sun, Dec 20@Tampa Bay BuccaneersAway1-4
16Sun, Dec 27vsArizona CardinalsHome1-3
17Sun, Jan 3@Atlanta FalconsAway2-2
18Sun, Jan 10vsTampa Bay BuccaneersHome1-4

FAQ

What are the New Orleans Saints' chances of making the playoffs?
The Saints have a 17% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 14% chance to win the NFC South, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
What is the Saints' record in 2026?
The New Orleans Saints are 1-3 (0-1 in division games, 0-2 in conference games), 3rd in NFC South.
Who do the Saints play next?
The Saints play at home against the Minnesota Vikings (4-0) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
How many games do the Saints have left?
The Saints have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.

Related

Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET

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