Football
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances 2026
1-4 · 4th in NFC South
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-4) sit 4th in the NFC South, 1.5 games behind the Carolina Panthers and have a 17% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Cowboys, and have 12 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
17%
Win NFC South
14%
Projected wins
6.3
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 6 vs Steelers
- With a win
- 25%
- With a loss
- 10%
- Swing
- 15 pts
Final win total
1%1
3%2
7%3
11%4
16%5
17%6
16%7
13%8
9%9
5%10
2%11
1%12
Most likely: 6 wins (17%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 1<1%
- Seed 21%
- Seed 34%
- Seed 49%
- Seed 5<1%
- Seed 61%
- Seed 72%
- Miss playoffs83%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers
NFC South race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Panthers | 2-2 | — | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| 2 |  Atlanta Falcons | 2-2 | 0 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Saints | 1-3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-4 | 1.5 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
Carolina Panthers
- Upcoming · Away · Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25
- Upcoming · Home · Week 12 · Mon, Nov 30
Atlanta Falcons
- Upcoming · Home · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
- Upcoming · Away · Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27
New Orleans Saints
- Upcoming · Home · Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20
- Upcoming · Away · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Cincinnati Bengals | Away | L 27–33 |
| 2 | vsCleveland Browns | Home | L 19–23 |
| 3 | vsMinnesota Vikings | Home | L 16–23 |
| 4 | vsGreen Bay Packers | Home | L 14–17 |
| 5 | @Dallas Cowboys | Away | W 24–16 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .458 combined opponent win percentage — 29th toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sun, Oct 18 | vsPittsburgh Steelers | Home | 2-2 |
| 7 | Sun, Oct 25 | @Carolina Panthers | Away | 2-2 |
| 8 | Sun, Nov 1 | vsAtlanta Falcons | Home | 2-2 |
| 9 | Sun, Nov 8 | @Chicago Bears | Away | 3-1 |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @Detroit Lions | Away | 2-2 |
| 12 | Mon, Nov 30 | vsCarolina Panthers | Home | 2-2 |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | vsLos Angeles Chargers | Home | 0-4 |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | @Baltimore Ravens | Away | 3-1 |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | vsNew Orleans Saints | Home | 1-3 |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | @Atlanta Falcons | Away | 2-2 |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vsLos Angeles Rams | Home | 2-2 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @New Orleans Saints | Away | 1-3 |
FAQ
- What are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Buccaneers have a 17% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 14% chance to win the NFC South, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Buccaneers' record in 2026?
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 1-4 (0-0 in division games, 1-2 in conference games), 4th in NFC South.
- Who do the Buccaneers play next?
- The Buccaneers play at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) in Week 6 on Sun, Oct 18.
- How many games do the Buccaneers have left?
- The Buccaneers have 12 regular-season games left after playing 5.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET