Football
Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 2026
3-1 · 2nd in NFC North
The Chicago Bears (3-1) sit 2nd in the NFC North, one game behind the Minnesota Vikings and have a 64% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Panthers, the Eagles and the Jets, and have 13 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
64%
Win NFC North
21%
Projected wins
10.2
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 5 at Packers
- With a win
- 78%
- With a loss
- 46%
- Swing
- 32 pts
Final win total
2%5
4%6
7%7
11%8
15%9
16%10
16%11
14%12
9%13
5%14
2%15
Most likely: 11 wins (16%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 17%
- Seed 210%
- Seed 33%
- Seed 41%
- Seed 516%
- Seed 615%
- Seed 713%
- Miss playoffs36%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers
NFC North race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Vikings | 4-0 | — | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| 2 | Chicago Bears | 3-1 | 1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| 3 |  Detroit Lions | 2-2 | 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 |  Green Bay Packers | 2-2 | 2 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
Minnesota Vikings
- L 3–9 · Home · Sun, Sep 20
- Upcoming · Away · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
Detroit Lions
- Upcoming · Away · Week 12 · Thu, Nov 26
- Upcoming · Home · Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3
Green Bay Packers
- Upcoming · Away · Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11
- Upcoming · Home · Week 16 · Fri, Dec 25
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Carolina Panthers | Away | W 59–37 |
| 2 | vsMinnesota Vikings | Home | L 3–9 |
| 3 | vsPhiladelphia Eagles | Home | W 27–7 |
| 4 | vsNew York Jets | Home | W 23–12 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .509 combined opponent win percentage — 15th toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sun, Oct 11 | @Green Bay Packers | Away | 2-2 |
| 6 | Sun, Oct 18 | @Atlanta Falcons | Away | 2-2 |
| 7 | Thu, Oct 22 | vsNew England Patriots | Home | 2-2 |
| 8 | Mon, Nov 2 | @Seattle Seahawks | Away | 3-1 |
| 9 | Sun, Nov 8 | vsTampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 1-4 |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | vsNew Orleans Saints | Home | 1-3 |
| 12 | Thu, Nov 26 | @Detroit Lions | Away | 2-2 |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | vsJacksonville Jaguars | Home | 3-1 |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | @Miami Dolphins | Away | 0-4 |
| 15 | Sat, Dec 19 | @Buffalo Bills | Away | 3-1 |
| 16 | Fri, Dec 25 | vsGreen Bay Packers | Home | 2-2 |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vsDetroit Lions | Home | 2-2 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @Minnesota Vikings | Away | 4-0 |
FAQ
- What are the Chicago Bears' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Bears have a 64% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 21% chance to win the NFC North, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Bears' record in 2026?
- The Chicago Bears are 3-1 (0-1 in division games, 2-1 in conference games), 2nd in NFC North.
- Who do the Bears play next?
- The Bears play on the road against the Green Bay Packers (2-2) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
- How many games do the Bears have left?
- The Bears have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET