Football
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances 2026
3-1 · 1st in AFC South
The Jacksonville Jaguars (3-1) lead the AFC South by one game over the Indianapolis Colts and have an 87% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Browns, the Patriots and the Bengals, and have 13 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
87%
Win AFC South
75%
Projected wins
11.6
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 5 vs Eagles · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- With a win
- 92%
- With a loss
- 79%
- Swing
- 13 pts
Final win total
1%6
3%7
5%8
9%9
13%10
16%11
18%12
16%13
12%14
6%15
2%16
Most likely: 12 wins (18%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 122%
- Seed 220%
- Seed 318%
- Seed 415%
- Seed 54%
- Seed 64%
- Seed 74%
- Miss playoffs13%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Division magic number: 13
AFC South race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 3-1 | — | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| 2 |  Indianapolis Colts | 2-2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| 3 |  Tennessee Titans | 0-4 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 4 |  Houston Texans | 0-4 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-3 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
Indianapolis Colts
- Upcoming · Home · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
- Upcoming · Away · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
Tennessee Titans
- Upcoming · Away · Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15
- Upcoming · Home · Week 12 · Sun, Nov 29
Houston Texans
- Upcoming · Neutral · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18
- Upcoming · Away · Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsCleveland Browns | Home | W 34–10 |
| 2 | @Denver Broncos | Away | L 13–20 |
| 3 | vsNew England Patriots | Home | W 35–6 |
| 4 | @Cincinnati Bengals | Away | W 22–17 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .377 combined opponent win percentage — 32nd toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sun, Oct 11 | vsPhiladelphia Eagles | Neutral · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium | 2-2 |
| 6 | Sun, Oct 18 | vsHouston Texans | Neutral · Wembley Stadium | 0-4 |
| 8 | Sun, Nov 1 | vsIndianapolis Colts | Home | 2-2 |
| 9 | Thu, Nov 5 | @Baltimore Ravens | Away | 3-1 |
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | @Tennessee Titans | Away | 0-4 |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @New York Giants | Away | 3-1 |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vsTennessee Titans | Home | 0-4 |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | @Chicago Bears | Away | 3-1 |
| 14 | Mon, Dec 14 | vsPittsburgh Steelers | Home | 2-2 |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | @Houston Texans | Away | 0-4 |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | @Dallas Cowboys | Away | 2-3 |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vsWashington Commanders | Home | 1-3 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @Indianapolis Colts | Away | 2-2 |
FAQ
- What are the Jacksonville Jaguars' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Jaguars have an 87% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 75% chance to win the AFC South, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Jaguars' record in 2026?
- The Jacksonville Jaguars are 3-1 (0-0 in division games, 3-1 in conference games), 1st in AFC South.
- Who do the Jaguars play next?
- The Jaguars play at a neutral site against the Philadelphia Eagles (2-2) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
- How many games do the Jaguars have left?
- The Jaguars have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET