Football

Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 2026

2-3 · 3rd in NFC East

The Dallas Cowboys (2-3) sit 3rd in the NFC East, 1.5 games behind the New York Giants and have a 20% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Commanders and the Texans, and have 12 games left.

Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works

Make playoffs

20%

Win NFC East

14%

Projected wins

7.1

of 17 games

What this week is worth

Week 6 at Packers

With a win
31%
With a loss
12%
Swing
19 pts

Final win total

Most likely: 7 wins (18%)

Playoff seed

  • Seed 1<1%
  • Seed 21%
  • Seed 35%
  • Seed 47%
  • Seed 51%
  • Seed 62%
  • Seed 73%
  • Miss playoffs80%

Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers

NFC East race

NFC East standings
PosTeamW-L-TGBDIVCONF
1New York Giants3-1—1-02-1
2Philadelphia Eagles2-211-01-2
3Dallas Cowboys2-31.51-11-2
4Washington Commanders1-320-21-2

Teams with identical win percentages share a position.

Head-to-head vs division rivals

New York Giants
  • L 20–28 · Away · Sun, Sep 13
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3
Philadelphia Eagles
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 7 · Mon, Oct 26
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 12 · Thu, Nov 26
Washington Commanders
  • W 37–20 · Home · Sun, Sep 20
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10

Results so far

WkOpponentSiteResult
1@New York GiantsAwayL 20–28
2vsWashington CommandersHomeW 37–20
3vsBaltimore RavensNeutral · Maracanã StadiumL 31–34
4@Houston TexansAwayW 34–30
5vsTampa Bay BuccaneersHomeL 16–24

Remaining schedule

Remaining strength of schedule: .521 combined opponent win percentage — 7th toughest of 32.

WkDateOpponentSiteOpp record
6Sun, Oct 18@Green Bay PackersAway2-2
7Mon, Oct 26@Philadelphia EaglesAway2-2
8Sun, Nov 1vsArizona CardinalsHome1-3
9Sun, Nov 8@Indianapolis ColtsAway2-2
10Sun, Nov 15vsSan Francisco 49ersHome4-0
11Sun, Nov 22vsTennessee TitansHome0-4
12Thu, Nov 26vsPhiladelphia EaglesHome2-2
13Mon, Dec 7@Seattle SeahawksAway3-1
15Sun, Dec 20@Los Angeles RamsAway2-2
16Sun, Dec 27vsJacksonville JaguarsHome3-1
17Sun, Jan 3vsNew York GiantsHome3-1
18Sun, Jan 10@Washington CommandersAway1-3

FAQ

What are the Dallas Cowboys' chances of making the playoffs?
The Cowboys have a 20% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 14% chance to win the NFC East, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
What is the Cowboys' record in 2026?
The Dallas Cowboys are 2-3 (1-1 in division games, 1-2 in conference games), 3rd in NFC East.
Who do the Cowboys play next?
The Cowboys play on the road against the Green Bay Packers (2-2) in Week 6 on Sun, Oct 18.
How many games do the Cowboys have left?
The Cowboys have 12 regular-season games left after playing 5.

Related

Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET

RosterSpin is an independent project not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL.