Football
Washington Commanders Playoff Chances 2026
1-3 · 4th in NFC East
The Washington Commanders (1-3) sit 4th in the NFC East, two games behind the New York Giants and have a 12% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Seahawks, and have 13 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
12%
Win NFC East
7%
Projected wins
6.2
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 5 vs Giants
- With a win
- 21%
- With a loss
- 4%
- Swing
- 17 pts
Final win total
1%1
4%2
8%3
12%4
16%5
17%6
15%7
12%8
8%9
5%10
2%11
1%12
Most likely: 6 wins (17%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 1<1%
- Seed 21%
- Seed 33%
- Seed 43%
- Seed 51%
- Seed 62%
- Seed 73%
- Miss playoffs88%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers
NFC East race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  New York Giants | 3-1 | — | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| 2 |  Philadelphia Eagles | 2-2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| 3 |  Dallas Cowboys | 2-3 | 1.5 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| 4 | Washington Commanders | 1-3 | 2 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
New York Giants
- Upcoming · Home · Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11
- Upcoming · Away · Week 10 · Thu, Nov 12
Philadelphia Eagles
- L 22–24 · Away · Sun, Sep 13
- Upcoming · Home · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
Dallas Cowboys
- L 20–37 · Away · Sun, Sep 20
- Upcoming · Home · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Philadelphia Eagles | Away | L 22–24 |
| 2 | @Dallas Cowboys | Away | L 20–37 |
| 3 | vsSeattle Seahawks | Home | W 33–31 |
| 4 | vsIndianapolis Colts | Neutral · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium | L 13–30 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .528 combined opponent win percentage — 5th toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sun, Oct 11 | vsNew York Giants | Home | 3-1 |
| 6 | Mon, Oct 19 | @San Francisco 49ers | Away | 4-0 |
| 8 | Sun, Nov 1 | vsPhiladelphia Eagles | Home | 2-2 |
| 9 | Sun, Nov 8 | vsLos Angeles Rams | Home | 2-2 |
| 10 | Thu, Nov 12 | @New York Giants | Away | 3-1 |
| 11 | Mon, Nov 23 | vsCincinnati Bengals | Home | 2-2 |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | @Arizona Cardinals | Away | 1-3 |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | @Tennessee Titans | Away | 0-4 |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | vsHouston Texans | Home | 0-4 |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | vsAtlanta Falcons | Home | 2-2 |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | @Minnesota Vikings | Away | 4-0 |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | @Jacksonville Jaguars | Away | 3-1 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | vsDallas Cowboys | Home | 2-3 |
FAQ
- What are the Washington Commanders' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Commanders have a 12% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 7% chance to win the NFC East, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Commanders' record in 2026?
- The Washington Commanders are 1-3 (0-2 in division games, 1-2 in conference games), 4th in NFC East.
- Who do the Commanders play next?
- The Commanders play at home against the New York Giants (3-1) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
- How many games do the Commanders have left?
- The Commanders have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET