Football
Minnesota Vikings Playoff Chances 2026
4-0 · 1st in NFC North
The Minnesota Vikings (4-0) lead the NFC North by one game over the Chicago Bears and have an 89% chance to make the playoffs. They are still unbeaten. They have beaten the Packers, the Bears, the Buccaneers and the Dolphins, and have 13 games left.
Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works
Make playoffs
89%
Win NFC North
62%
Projected wins
12.2
of 17 games
What this week is worth
Week 5 at Saints
- With a win
- 93%
- With a loss
- 78%
- Swing
- 15 pts
Final win total
1%6
2%7
3%8
7%9
10%10
14%11
16%12
17%13
15%14
10%15
4%16
1%17
Most likely: 13 wins (17%)
Playoff seed
- Seed 129%
- Seed 225%
- Seed 36%
- Seed 42%
- Seed 511%
- Seed 69%
- Seed 77%
- Miss playoffs11%
Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Division magic number: 13
NFC North race
| Pos | Team | W-L-T | GB | DIV | CONF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Vikings | 4-0 | — | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| 2 |  Chicago Bears | 3-1 | 1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| 3 |  Detroit Lions | 2-2 | 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 |  Green Bay Packers | 2-2 | 2 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
Teams with identical win percentages share a position.
Head-to-head vs division rivals
Chicago Bears
- W 9–3 · Away · Sun, Sep 20
- Upcoming · Home · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10
Detroit Lions
- Upcoming · Away · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
- Upcoming · Home · Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20
Green Bay Packers
- W 39–22 · Home · Sun, Sep 13
- Upcoming · Away · Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsGreen Bay Packers | Home | W 39–22 |
| 2 | @Chicago Bears | Away | W 9–3 |
| 3 | @Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | W 23–16 |
| 4 | vsMiami Dolphins | Home | W 15–10 |
Remaining schedule
Remaining strength of schedule: .519 combined opponent win percentage — 8th toughest of 32.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Opp record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sun, Oct 11 | @New Orleans Saints | Away | 1-3 |
| 7 | Sun, Oct 25 | vsIndianapolis Colts | Home | 2-2 |
| 8 | Sun, Nov 1 | @Detroit Lions | Away | 2-2 |
| 9 | Mon, Nov 9 | vsBuffalo Bills | Home | 3-1 |
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | @Green Bay Packers | Away | 2-2 |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | vsSan Francisco 49ers | Neutral · Estadio Banorte | 4-0 |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vsAtlanta Falcons | Home | 2-2 |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | vsCarolina Panthers | Home | 2-2 |
| 14 | Thu, Dec 10 | @New England Patriots | Away | 2-2 |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | vsDetroit Lions | Home | 2-2 |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vsWashington Commanders | Home | 1-3 |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | @New York Jets | Away | 1-3 |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | vsChicago Bears | Home | 3-1 |
FAQ
- What are the Minnesota Vikings' chances of making the playoffs?
- The Vikings have an 89% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 62% chance to win the NFC North, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Vikings' record in 2026?
- The Minnesota Vikings are 4-0 (2-0 in division games, 3-0 in conference games), 1st in NFC North.
- Who do the Vikings play next?
- The Vikings play on the road against the New Orleans Saints (1-3) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
- How many games do the Vikings have left?
- The Vikings have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.
Related
Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET