Football

Denver Broncos Playoff Chances 2026

2-2 · 3rd in AFC West

The Denver Broncos (2-2) sit 3rd in the AFC West, two games behind the Kansas City Chiefs and have a 62% chance to make the playoffs. They have beaten the Jaguars and the Rams, and have 13 games left.

Updated Sat Oct 10 · 4:48 AM ET · 20,000 simulated seasons · How it works

Make playoffs

62%

Win AFC West

28%

Projected wins

9.8

of 17 games

What this week is worth

Week 5 at Chargers

With a win
73%
With a loss
44%
Swing
29 pts

Final win total

Most likely: 10 wins (16%)

Playoff seed

  • Seed 17%
  • Seed 28%
  • Seed 37%
  • Seed 46%
  • Seed 514%
  • Seed 611%
  • Seed 79%
  • Miss playoffs38%

Division: Alive · Playoffs: Alive · Magic numbers

AFC West race

AFC West standings
PosTeamW-L-TGBDIVCONF
1Kansas City Chiefs4-0—2-04-0
2Las Vegas Raiders3-111-12-1
3Denver Broncos2-220-11-1
4Los Angeles Chargers0-440-10-2

Teams with identical win percentages share a position.

Head-to-head vs division rivals

Kansas City Chiefs
  • L 10–31 · Away · Mon, Sep 14
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1
Las Vegas Raiders
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20
Los Angeles Chargers
  • Upcoming · Away · Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11
  • Upcoming · Home · Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10

Results so far

WkOpponentSiteResult
1@Kansas City ChiefsAwayL 10–31
2vsJacksonville JaguarsHomeW 20–13
3vsLos Angeles RamsHomeW 30–26
4@San Francisco 49ersAwayL 14–24

Remaining schedule

Remaining strength of schedule: .462 combined opponent win percentage — 26th toughest of 32.

WkDateOpponentSiteOpp record
5Sun, Oct 11@Los Angeles ChargersAway0-4
6Thu, Oct 15vsSeattle SeahawksHome3-1
7Sun, Oct 25@Arizona CardinalsAway1-3
8Sun, Nov 1vsKansas City ChiefsHome4-0
9Sun, Nov 8@Carolina PanthersAway2-2
11Sun, Nov 22vsLas Vegas RaidersHome3-1
12Fri, Nov 27@Pittsburgh SteelersAway2-2
13Sun, Dec 6vsMiami DolphinsHome0-4
14Sun, Dec 13@New York JetsAway1-3
15Sun, Dec 20@Las Vegas RaidersAway3-1
16Fri, Dec 25vsBuffalo BillsHome3-1
17Sun, Jan 3@New England PatriotsAway2-2
18Sun, Jan 10vsLos Angeles ChargersHome0-4

FAQ

What are the Denver Broncos' chances of making the playoffs?
The Broncos have a 62% chance to make the 2026 playoffs and a 28% chance to win the AFC West, based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
What is the Broncos' record in 2026?
The Denver Broncos are 2-2 (0-1 in division games, 1-1 in conference games), 3rd in AFC West.
Who do the Broncos play next?
The Broncos play on the road against the Los Angeles Chargers (0-4) in Week 5 on Sun, Oct 11.
How many games do the Broncos have left?
The Broncos have 13 regular-season games left after playing 4.

Related

Updated OCT 9 · 11:02 PM ET

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